Coronavirus Live Updates - Page 27
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  1. #261
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Here is a Ted Talk by a fellow named Larry Brilliant who is an expert on the subject of fighting pandemics.
    His advice for combating a pandemic is “early detection, early response.”
    From Mr. Brilliant’s experience as explained in the video, given the reduced numbers of tests in the USA, we should have a lot more folks carrying the virus than we know.

    https://www.ted.com/talks/larry_bril...stop_pandemics

  2. #262
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Bill Gates today:

    "The U.S. is past this opportunity to control (COVID-19) without shutdown," Gates said during a TED Connects program broadcast online. "We did not act fast enough to have an ability to avoid the shutdown."

    "It's very tough to say to people, 'Hey keep going to restaurants, go buy new houses, ignore that pile of bodies over in the corner, we want you to keep spending because there's some politician that thinks GDP growth is what counts,'" Gates said. "It's hard to tell people during an epidemic … that they should go about things knowing their activity is spreading this disease."

    Tough position we are in.

    Article here:

    https://www.foxnews.com/tech/bill-ga...utdowns-closed

  3. #263
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Dr. Boris Lushniak, former U.S. Deputy Surgeon General, and current Dean of Maryland School of Public Health: the current outbreak numbers in the US probably represent the actual status maybe 10-15 days ago. But he also said, 80% of the cases show mild symptoms or no symptoms at all.

    Further, an interesting epidemology study from Oxford University in the UK, arguing the spread has already happened in the country, and herd immunity in humans is building. According to the article they start testing now, trying to find support for the findings. If correct, quarantine measures could be reduced earlier than previously thought.

    https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-...f-41bea055720b


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  5. #264
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Part of a every other day update email from my company just to show that there is a massive effort underway to find vaccines and medications that may help with this current situation. For the last 15 years, I have been conflicted to work within the Big Pharma Industry, but at this moment, I could not be prouder and happy to have the job I have right now.


    -------

    It’s been an extraordinary past few weeks. As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to escalate, our world is facing challenges of a magnitude not seen before during our lifetimes.

    As of Sunday, the number of coronavirus cases globally surged past 300,000 and while the situation varies regionally, we are seeing an increase in government-mandated quarantines and lockdowns where our offices are located.

    We couldn’t be prouder of the work that Parexel is doing as an organization in support of the current pandemic. Parexel is contributing actively to the vaccine development efforts for COVID-19 while continuing to develop a broad range of therapies with the potential to change and save patient lives. Our efforts extend beyond our own organization to include collaboration on a harmonized risk-based monitoring approach aligned with regulatory agencies as part of the broader industry response being led through the Association of Clinical Research Organizations (ACRO).
    -----------------
    Brian

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  7. #265
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    I did some back of the envelope calculations, based on epidemiological data from Iceland, which has tested a larger proportion of its population that any other country in the world by far. From that analysis, my hypothesis is that we have 6 to 7X as many people infected in the USA than is currently being reported, which at this moment, just ticked over 60,000. So, if we have the same proportion of cases that Iceland has per capita (and its a reasonable assumption to assume we do), we have presently anywhere from 350,000 to 480,000 individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the USA.

  8. #266
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Puma Cat View Post
    I did some back of the envelope calculations, based on epidemiological data from Iceland, which has tested a larger proportion of its population that any other country in the world by far. From that analysis, my hypothesis is that we have 6 to 7X as many people infected in the USA than is currently being reported, which at this moment, just ticked over 60,000. So, if we have the same proportion of cases that Iceland has per capita (and its a reasonable assumption to assume we do), we have presently anywhere from 350,000 to 480,000 individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the USA.
    And anywhere between 349,000 and 478,000 that have recovered or had no symptoms. Lets start focusing on the good as opposed to the constant doom and gloom the media is feeding us.

    From WHO
    Close to 800 000 people die due to suicide every year, which is one person every 40 seconds. Where is the outrage and panic?


    Nearly 1.25 million people die in road crashes each year, on average 3,287 deaths a day. An additional 20-50 million are injured or disabled.

    Heart Disease in the United States
    About 647,000 Americans die from heart disease each year—that's 1 in every 4 deaths. Heart disease costs the United States about $219 billion each year from 2014 to 2015. - Where is the outrage and panic?

    In 2017, gun deaths reached their highest level since 1968 with 39,773 deaths by firearm, of which 23,854 were by suicide and 14,542 were homicides. The rate of firearm deaths per 100,000 people rose from 10.3 per 100,000 in 1999 to 12 per 100,000 in 2017, with 109 people dying per day.

    Flu season is hitting its stride right now in the US. So far, the CDC has estimated (based on weekly influenza surveillance data) that at least 12,000 people have died from influenza between Oct. 1, 2019 through Feb. 1, 2020, and the number of deaths may be as high as 30,000. - Why are we not shutting down the world over this?

    Think about it, are we going a bit overboard here? In reality, as said before, we are all going to get this and move on before vaccines are ready. They will be good for your grand children at best. I agree people need to be clean and smart, but I don't think we should be shutting down the whole world economy over this if we are not going to do the same for all the items I just listed. And, now that it was done, expect a market crash every time something new comes down the pike that is not nearly as deadly as the items listed above. Each issue caused more deaths per year than this Virus will cause and nobody seems outraged or panicked....maybe because the media did not tell you to panic?

    We are going to have more Suicides and murders out of an economy shutdown than the Virus also as desperate people become more desperate.
    -----------------
    Brian

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  9. #267
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    And anywhere between 349,000 and 478,000 that have recovered or had no symptoms. Lets start focusing on the good as opposed to the constant doom and gloom the media is feeding us.

    From WHO
    Close to 800 000 people die due to suicide every year, which is one person every 40 seconds. Where is the outrage and panic?


    Nearly 1.25 million people die in road crashes each year, on average 3,287 deaths a day. An additional 20-50 million are injured or disabled.

    Heart Disease in the United States
    About 647,000 Americans die from heart disease each year—that's 1 in every 4 deaths. Heart disease costs the United States about $219 billion each year from 2014 to 2015. - Where is the outrage and panic?

    In 2017, gun deaths reached their highest level since 1968 with 39,773 deaths by firearm, of which 23,854 were by suicide and 14,542 were homicides. The rate of firearm deaths per 100,000 people rose from 10.3 per 100,000 in 1999 to 12 per 100,000 in 2017, with 109 people dying per day.

    Flu season is hitting its stride right now in the US. So far, the CDC has estimated (based on weekly influenza surveillance data) that at least 12,000 people have died from influenza between Oct. 1, 2019 through Feb. 1, 2020, and the number of deaths may be as high as 30,000. - Why are we not shutting down the world over this?

    Think about it, are we going a bit overboard here? In reality, as said before, we are all going to get this and move on before vaccines are ready. They will be good for your grand children at best. I agree people need to be clean and smart, but I don't think we should be shutting down the whole world economy over this if we are not going to do the same for all the items I just listed. And, now that it was done, expect a market crash every time something new comes down the pike that is not nearly as deadly as the items listed above. Each issue caused more deaths per year than this Virus will cause and nobody seems outraged or panicked....maybe because the media did not tell you to panic?

    We are going to have more Suicides and murders out of an economy shutdown than the Virus also as desperate people become more desperate.
    This has been my consideration. In our mobile, gregarious, society, its well nigh impossible to stop these viruses, which is why we have not stopped society, every year, for flu season. The loss of productivity for this work stoppage period, will be a huge hit. Much larger damage that this virus.

    People do seem to be reacting individually to the virus though. Obviously the folk with unhealthy issues are at great risk. However, some of the deaths have been to healthy people too.

    I use the "risks of driving your car on the freeway" all the time when discussing risk/benefits with people. No one thinks twice about getting in a car, and driving fast on the freeway, surrounded by other maniacs out for a ride. Start a new, well tolerated medicine..., now let me check with Google first.
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  11. #268
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Good thing none of the posters here can actually affect our country's actions in response to this situation
    Rob
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  13. #269
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    Coronavirus Live Updates

    Misinterpreted. Deleted.
    Mike





  14. #270
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Today’s issue of USA Today has another (after CNN’s) Q & A with Dr. Frieden. IMHO, everyone here should read it and take note of the unknowns as well as the recommendations based on what we do know.
    Rob
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