No supposition here Myles. I will try and find the article that I recently read that went deep into the topic but 'till then here are a few quotes.
6-13-14 "Wondering Sound" - Disc Maker Reopens Vinyl Plant
The ongoing struggle between the rising demand for vinyl and the lack of plants that actually produce it has gotten slightly less daunting thanks to the reemergence of Disc Makers. While the company has long supported the independent music scene by offering small runs of CDs, they got out of the vinyl game 15 years ago and recently decided to refurbish their old factory to handle as little as 200 records at a time.
June 9, 2014 "Pitchfork" Why Aren't There More Vinyl Pressing Plants?
“The album release date for In Conflict has been pushed back to May 27. This is due to a backup at the pressing plant; Record Store Day was a tall order this year. We will be selling CD and vinyl copies of the album at all May tour dates, prior to the ‘street date.’”
As of late, it's been all too common: An artist celebrates a record release show, booked months in advance, but doesn’t actually have the record available at the merch table because of some mysterious hold-up. Or—in Pallett’s case and many others—they release a "pushed back" statement instead, one that has nothing to do with last minute tinkering in the studio. It has to do with a shortage of vinyl pressing plants.
"A Journel of Musical Things"
RIP-V, which began in 2009 after buying up a mothballed plant, has six presses but only four are operating. Try getting parts for the old machines–and even when everything is running, there’s no Canadian company making the lacquer masters, which are the things from which all copies are made. There’s no Canadian supplier of metal stampers, either. This adds to the costs–and the price. Business (and jobs) go south to the US, where apparently 99% of the world’s vinyl production is carried out.
Industry pioneer re-enters the market after 15 years, offering vinyl records to independent artists
Pennsauken, NJ, June 12, 2014 —
The market for vinyl records is growing by leaps and bounds—35% per year for the last five years, despite a continued decline in total recorded music sales revenue. Due to vinyl’s niche status and strong growth, production capacity has lagged behind, leading musicians and labels to turn to pressing plants as far away as Eastern Europe to get their records pressed. And even with months-long waiting times, artists sometimes receive vinyl test pressings, only to discover they are not up to snuff.
This one is too long to quote.
The Quietus | Opinion | The Quietus Essay | Is Record Store Day In Crisis? A Quietus Investigation