Microsoft to buy Spotify

At this time but not so far fetched for them to be a buyout victim soon to one of the tech giants with cash to burn.
 
Spotify listed it's shares today on the NYSE. At the price at the close it had a market cap of $26.37 Bn for a company that generated $3.25Bn in revenues in 2017 (so trading at 8.1X Revs). Of course it is not profitable (lost $365 million at EBITDA level, $426 million at EBIT level, and $1,393 million at net income level, equating to -$7.58 EPS). Topline did grow 41% in 2017 and is expected to grow again by 40% in 2018, but even at $6.4bn in forecast revenue for 2018, the estimates are still for significant losses at EBITDA, EBIT, and EPS lines. Gross profit margins at 15.5% (very low) tell you how substantial content acquisition costs are, and with thin gross profit margins and customer acquisitions costs that the company has not been able to scale down even as a $6bn revenue company, then, it's hard to see at what level these guys will become profitable. Certainly can't see it happen until they halt their growth and reduce the sales and marketing expenses associated with acquiring customers.

Not sure any of the tech giants would want to buy them as the music streaming business is structurally poor (Pandora, Spotify, Apple, Amazon, TIDAL, etc...) - lots of competitors, razor thin gross profit margins, and studios (content owners) retain the economic leverage in the value chain.
 
cmalak,

Good points. I would add that some companies like Apple and Amazon use streaming as an add-on to hardware and other sales. Streaming does not have to be profitable in a big way for it to make sense and dollars for them. In addition, their pockets are so deep they can lose money on streaming while they build customer base and not go under. For that matter, they could lose a money on streaming forever and it would only be a rounding error on their financial statements.
 
Spotify is a loss-making company that might not report a profit until next decade, but that didn’t stop investors from valuing the company at $30 billion when it debuted Tuesday on the United States stock market.
On its first day of trading on the New York Stock Exchange, the music streaming service finished with a valuation of $26.5 billion. Spotify’s shares opened at $165.90 before closing at $149.01. That’s well above the high of $132.50 that its shares changed hands at in private transactions this year. It’s also well above the $137.50 the WSJ reported its private shares were trading at during the past week.

The latest : https://www.cnbc.com/2018/04/03/spotify-spot-ipo-stock-starts-trading-on-the-nyse.html
 
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