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  1. #351
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    One of the best aggregated sources of data. FiveThirtyEight.com uses this for their statistical analysis. You can get a state-by-state breakdown here.

    https://covidtracking.com/data/

  2. #352
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Puma Cat View Post
    One of the best aggregated sources of data. FiveThirtyEight.com uses this for their statistical analysis. You can get a state-by-state breakdown here.

    https://covidtracking.com/data/
    PC this is a great resource for the U.S. In FL it has a link back to the map I've been using. Very useful. Thanks.

  3. #353
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    It would be helpful and encouraging if all these dashboards as well as the Death Scroll on all news shows included the Number of Recovered as well as the Number with No or Little Symptoms. All these dashboards are good for is to perpetuate the doom and gloom and a little bit of awareness if someone has been under a rock for the last 4 months.

    I am not a doctor or qualified expert but my gut feel is that before this is over or they find a vaccine, we will all have had it, fought it off or succumbed to it.

    My wife has a cousin in the hospital in Minnesota attempting to recover right now.
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  4. #354
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Calvin View Post
    PC this is a great resource for the U.S. In FL it has a link back to the map I've been using. Very useful. Thanks.
    Cheers, mate!

  5. #355
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    It would be helpful and encouraging if all these dashboards as well as the Death Scroll on all news shows included the Number of Recovered as well as the Number with No or Little Symptoms. All these dashboards are good for is to perpetuate the doom and gloom and a little bit of awareness if someone has been under a rock for the last 4 months.
    From Worldometer. The data shows the number recovered. As the majority people with little or no symptoms are not being tested, this data would both difficult, if not impossible, to obtain and a non-representative sample.

    Attached Images Attached Images

  6. #356
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Calvin View Post
    PC this is a great resource for the U.S. In FL it has a link back to the map I've been using. Very useful. Thanks.
    Joe, if you skip over to the next page, you can download a .csv file for all the states for that day, and also one with the no. of cases on since they started tracking with testing

    I've been looking at this to look at trends of the increase across various states.

    Link is here: https://covidtracking.com/api/

  7. #357
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    All these data sources are interesting, but they are at most suggestive. The continued lack of testing availability in the US means that total cases are vastly underestimated/underreported, and death cases are underreported as well, although probably by a lower multiplier (not all deaths that are due to COVID19 are reported that way, since not all of the critically ill or deceased are being tested)
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  8. #358

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by rbbert View Post
    All these data sources are interesting, but they are at most suggestive. The continued lack of testing availability in the US means that total cases are vastly underestimated/underreported, and death cases are underreported as well, although probably by a lower multiplier (not all deaths that are due to COVID19 are reported that way, since not all of the critically ill or deceased are being tested)
    Totally agree. Still surprised that more testing is not being done in this country.

    Btw, I Tried ordering masks today via Amazon; 3 weeks wait! We are now Back to the USSR!

  9. #359
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    I agree with Rbbert and Nicoff that the amount and TAT for testing in the USA is still insufficient for 1) identifying people with COVID-19 that are acutely ill and 2) proper epidemiological testing and contact tracing.

    California at this moment has only completed 29,254 tests and has >57,400 PENDING test results. This is unacceptable for the 5th largest economy in the world with a population of 40 million people.

    This is a major QUALITY failure. From LEAN process flow perspective, with a TAT of 7 days (!) the entire testing process has too long a specimen to results lead time to effectively manage people's health. The process cycle time is too long because...we don't have enough sample prep reagents and nasal swabs! The process is also likely a "batch & queue process" and it is TOO slow. We need to make testing LEAN.

    Today I personally wrote to CA Governor Gavin Newsom and offered my services as a Six Sigma Black Belt and...if he needs it, a molecular biologist. I also offered to go in to my local testing lab and run tests if that will help.

    We will see if he writes back.

  10. #360

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates




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  11. #361
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Rob, why do you say we don't have an effective Flu shot?
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  12. #362
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Just found a great resource from Univ. of Washington IHME group.

    You can select each state from the pulldown and look at hospital resources, peak deaths, and total death projections.

    https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

  13. #363

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Puma Cat View Post
    Just found a great resource from Univ. of Washington IHME group.

    You can select each state from the pulldown and look at hospital resources, peak deaths, and total death projections.

    https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
    Thank you!

  14. #364
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr Peabody View Post
    Rob, why do you say we don't have an effective Flu shot?
    The 2020 Flu Shot is only 46% effective so whether or not you get one you still have greater than a 50% chance of getting the flu.

    Effective would mean 100% or close but not 46%

    It is a crap shoot each year for them to decide what mix to include and they seem to be as much wrong each year as they are right.

    I stopped getting the shot 15 years ago when my wife stopped actively working in the medical field.

    I got the Flu 1 time in those 15 years so my chances were as good or better than those that get the shot every year.

    https://www.insider.com/how-effective-is-the-flu-shot
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  15. #365

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    The 2020 Flu Shot is only 46% effective so whether or not you get one you still have greater than a 50% chance of getting the flu.

    Effective would mean 100% or close but not 46%

    It is a crap shoot each year for them to decide what mix to include and they seem to be as much wrong each year as they are right.

    I stopped getting the shot 15 years ago when my wife stopped actively working in the medical field.

    I got the Flu 1 time in those 15 years so my chances were as good or better than those that get the shot every year.

    https://www.insider.com/how-effective-is-the-flu-shot
    This is the kind of rhetoric that costs lives in current pandemic and in yearly flu epidemic.

  16. #366
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    I get my Flu shot every year, I figure some protection is better than none. And, it was shocking to realize how many people die in the U.S. each year due to Flu.

    Now back to your regularly scheduled C19 post.
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  17. #367
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Puma Cat View Post

    Today I personally wrote to CA Governor Gavin Newsom and offered my services as a Six Sigma Black Belt and...if he needs it, a molecular biologist. I also offered to go in to my local testing lab and run tests if that will help.

    We will see if he writes back.
    You can sign up here:

    https://covid19.ca.gov/healthcorps/

  18. #368
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Devg View Post
    That is for only medical professionals & workers.

    I want to offer my services as a 6S BB and molecular biologist.

  19. #369
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by kzhtoo View Post
    This is the kind of rhetoric that costs lives in current pandemic and in yearly flu epidemic.
    It was an answer to Mr Peabody's question with facts. Had nothing to do with the current situation.
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  20. #370

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    It was an answer to Mr Peabody's question with facts. Had nothing to do with the current situation.
    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    The 2020 Flu Shot is only 46% effective so whether or not you get one you still have greater than a 50% chance of getting the flu.

    Effective would mean 100% or close but not 46%
    Flu shot effectiveness varies by year. Just picking one year and say it’s only 46% is incomplete fact at best. By the way, 46% is still 46% better than 0%, which is no flu shot.



    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    Effective would mean 100% or close but not 46%

    It is a crap shoot each year for them to decide what mix to include and they seem to be as much wrong each year as they are right.

    I stopped getting the shot 15 years ago when my wife stopped actively working in the medical field.

    I got the Flu 1 time in those 15 years so my chances were as good or better than those that get the shot every year.
    These aren’t facts. These are opinions and dangerous ones.

  21. #371
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by kzhtoo View Post
    Flu shot effectiveness varies by year. Just picking one year and say it’s only 46% is incomplete fact at best. By the way, 46% is still 46% better than 0%, which is no flu shot.





    These aren’t facts. These are opinions and dangerous ones.
    Sorry to have to disagree. If not getting a Flu Shot gives you a 50/50 chance of getting it, getting the shot and having 46% still get the Flue means No shot gives you close to the same odds as getting one.

    Did you even read the article I linked? I didn't make up the facts.

    And yes, in my opinion, 100% or at least close would mean Effective but not 46%. And it is a crap shoot each year because they have to pick the 3 or 4 strands that they "Think" are needed a year ahead of time and they are rarely spot on.
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  22. #372

    Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    Sorry to have to disagree. If not getting a Flu Shot gives you a 50/50 chance of getting it, getting the shot and having 46% still get the Flue means No shot gives you close to the same odds as getting one.

    Did you even read the article I linked? I didn't make up the facts.

    And yes, in my opinion, 100% or at least close would mean Effective but not 46%. And it is a crap shoot each year because they have to pick the 3 or 4 strands that they "Think" are needed a year ahead of time and they are rarely spot on.
    Like I said these are your opinions and dangerous ones. Thinking like this is one of the reasons this Covid-19 pandemic is much worse than it should have ever been.

    BTW even in a year when the selected strands aren’t an exact much, flu shot still lessen the severity of the flu and in many cases, that means life and death.

  23. #373
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    very useful information from a dr working on the front lines in nyc:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1P7x...ature=youtu.be
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  24. #374
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    Sorry to have to disagree. If not getting a Flu Shot gives you a 50/50 chance of getting it, getting the shot and having 46% still get the Flue means No shot gives you close to the same odds as getting one.

    Did you even read the article I linked? I didn't make up the facts.

    And yes, in my opinion, 100% or at least close would mean Effective but not 46%. And it is a crap shoot each year because they have to pick the 3 or 4 strands that they "Think" are needed a year ahead of time and they are rarely spot on.
    Respectfully, you're missing the bigger picture from a public health perspective. Vaccinations significantly reduces with statistical signifinance the no. of annual hospitilizations by 40-60%. With our healthcare stresssed to the max with the COVID-19 pandemic, reductions in non-COVID hospilizations is MISSION-CRITICAL. There were 500,000 hospitlizations due to influenza in years 2017/2018 alone.

    Flu Burden.jpg

  25. #375

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Puma Cat View Post
    Respectfully, you're missing the bigger picture from a public health perspective. Vaccinations significantly reduces with statistical signifinance the no. of annual hospitilizations by 40-60%. With our healthcare stresssed to the max with the COVID-19 pandemic, reductions in non-COVID hospilizations is MISSION-CRITICAL. There were 500,000 hospitlizations due to influenza in years 2017/2018 alone.

    Flu Burden.jpg
    Very good points. It is important to be able to see the forest for the trees.

  26. #376
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    They say times like this bring out the best and the worst in us .................

    https://6abc.com/officials-engineer-...mercy/6069459/
    Cheers ! …. Dave

  27. #377
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by nicoff View Post
    Very good points. It is important to be able to see the forest for the trees.
    Yes.

  28. #378
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    the source of corona - patient zero in china.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpQFCcSI0pU
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  29. #379
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Sharing an article written by a friend
    https://www.newsweek.com/2020/04/24/...n-1496321.html




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  30. #380
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    John Burns Murdoch at the Financial Times is doing an excellent job of tracking the COVID pandemic by different metrics. The "kinetics" of these curves is what is most informative.


    Each figure has its own legend.




    Rate of Increase of daily confirmed cases.
    Stars indicate countries and dates of National Lockdowns. USA has no National Lockdown in place.

  31. #381
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    The reason that one chart showing the US death raising is due to to many people are just not taking this serious. Plus I really don't trust the data coming out of China.
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  32. #382
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    California has really jumped up.

    https://ncov2019.live


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  33. #383
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Mike View Post
    California has really jumped up.

    https://ncov2019.live


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    Yes, though part of that was due to having a very large backlog late last week (over 50,0000) of tests that were pending and waiting to be completed. ~40,000 of those pending tests were completed in the last 3 days or so (finally!).

    Given the kinetics of their respective curves, looks like Louisiana will be passing CA for number of deaths/day, perhaps within a week. One of John's plots for the Financial Times shows that the increase/day is steeper.

  34. #384
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Today's updates from the Financial Times. Rate of deaths/day continues to increase in the U.S. Countries with national lockdown are seeing the curve flatten.




  35. #385
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Puma Cat View Post
    Today's updates from the Financial Times. Rate of deaths/day continues to increase in the U.S. Countries with national lockdown are seeing the curve flatten.



    Most stay at home orders are completely half-assed.
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  36. #386
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    Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Mike View Post
    Most stay at home orders are completely half-assed.
    What do you mean? Incompliance by the people? If so, then I too agree.
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  37. #387

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Mike View Post
    Most stay at home orders are completely half-assed.
    True. Two things currently showing impact:
    - social distancing, shutting down bars, restaurants, all non-essential traffic
    - wearing masks while mingling for necessities


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  38. #388

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates




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  39. #389
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Mike View Post
    Most stay at home orders are completely half-assed.
    Possibly, but I suspect they are better than nothing.

    What I wonder is what will happen when people can go to work, and just start acting human again. The virus isn’t going to disappear. Why won’t it start infecting people again?
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  40. #390

    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by BlueFox View Post
    Possibly, but I suspect they are better than nothing.

    What I wonder is what will happen when people can go to work, and just start acting human again. The virus isn’t going to disappear. Why won’t it start infecting people again?
    It won’t stop until a vaccine is available. And you really can’t lift up stay at home order without easily accessible broad testing and contact tracing system either. But that doesn’t mean the government won’t. Most certainly there will be a few peaks throughout this year.

  41. #391
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by kzhtoo View Post
    It won’t stop until a vaccine is available. And you really can’t lift up stay at home order without easily accessible broad testing and contact tracing system either. But that doesn’t mean the government won’t. Most certainly there will be a few peaks throughout this year.
    Since we have not found a vaccine for the flu, I think it is a long shot for Corona as well leading to available awareness on the spot testing, and even then people may or may not address the matter and this all coming from an optimist.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
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  42. #392
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Well to those industries that must continue to function like the one I'm in (railroading) we are doing the following.....

    all train and engine crews are wearing masks / gloves
    control stands, grab irons, door handles, etc. wiped down after every shift
    continue to remind everyone to avoid touching your face at least until you've washed your hands properly

    so far all are crews have remained healthy.
    Cheers ! …. Dave

  43. #393
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Interesting data, now that the doctors are coping up with the daemon for a while...

    https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coro...-rate/2366184/

  44. #394
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Devg View Post
    Interesting data, now that the doctors are coping up with the daemon for a while...

    https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coro...-rate/2366184/
    And what are the Stats for Not using the Vents?

    Patients Die, right?

    My wife is a 35 year Respiratory Therapist and until there is some real proof about this, it does not make a lot of sense unless there is an issue with the Vent or the amount of Oxygen used.
    -----------------
    Brian

    Main System -
    Rotel RCD-1572 / Rega P3 > Luxman 505UX Mark II > Fyne Audio F502SPs > Synergistic Cables

    Secondary - OPPO 93 > VAC CLA 1 MKII Pre > Odyssey Stratos > Dynaudio Audience 82s > Tara Labs Cables


  45. #395
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by UltraFast69 View Post
    Since we have not found a vaccine for the flu, I think it is a long shot for Corona as well leading to available awareness on the spot testing, and even then people may or may not address the matter and this all coming from an optimist.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
    The Yearly Flu is not the same exact strand of Flu year after year. Each year they guess what they think it should be for the next year, sometimes right, sometimes not. It usually includes several strands as well as harmful delivery agents. If you remember, they included the Swine Flu strand for about 4 years after there were no more reported cases along with several other strands.

    If the Yearly Flu was exactly the same every year, they would have a Vaccine, unless there has been an underlying money making scheme between all former administrations of government and Pharma companies since Vaccines were created in every country.
    -----------------
    Brian

    Main System -
    Rotel RCD-1572 / Rega P3 > Luxman 505UX Mark II > Fyne Audio F502SPs > Synergistic Cables

    Secondary - OPPO 93 > VAC CLA 1 MKII Pre > Odyssey Stratos > Dynaudio Audience 82s > Tara Labs Cables


  46. #396
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    The Yearly Flu is not the same exact strand of Flu year after year. Each year they guess what they think it should be for the next year, sometimes right, sometimes not. It usually includes several strands as well as harmful delivery agents. If you remember, they included the Swine Flu strand for about 4 years after there were no more reported cases along with several other strands.

    If the Yearly Flu was exactly the same every year, they would have a Vaccine, unless there has been an underlying money making scheme between all former administrations of government and Pharma companies since Vaccines were created in every country.
    The CDC website has the effectiveness of the influenza vaccine broken down by age group and year-to-year.

    https://www.cdc.gov/flu/vaccines-wor...estimates.html

    Although the numbers used for the analyses are relatively small, the results are dismal. In the over 64 age group, vaccine effectiveness almost never exceeds 15%; even in the 50-64 age group, it is almost never over 20%. If that were how effective a COVID vaccine might be, it would not be very helpful. And as it stands now, there is very little known about what might constitute protective immunity from the corona virus, so no one knows what a potential vaccine should do
    Rob
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  47. #397
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    And what are the Stats for Not using the Vents?

    Patients Die, right?

    My wife is a 35 year Respiratory Therapist and until there is some real proof about this, it does not make a lot of sense unless there is an issue with the Vent or the amount of Oxygen used.
    Proof may take awhile. Raw data from Italy suggests that high-flow O2 has better results than artificial ventilation in most critically ill patients, but it is retrospective and poorly controlled for other factors. It's not clear if anyone (or any group) is willing to undertake a controlled, prospective trial to try to get proof one way or the other.
    Rob
    __________________________
    Tascam BR-20; Technics 1506 with tape path upgrades, FM head, DeHavilland 222 tape head pre; Modwright Oppo 205 full tube mod w/LPS; Euphony Summus server, EtherRegen, HDPLEX LPS; MSB Discrete DAC (dual PS, ISLPro, balanced out); Pass Labs XP-12, XA60.8 (pair); Daedalus Audio Apollo 11’s, VMPS Larger Sub; Daedalus/Wywires, Acoustic Zen, Sablon Audio, Wireworld, Shunyata Research cables; Core Power Equi=Power;
    Adona rack, ​​​​​Stillpoints, IsoPods, ASC, GIK Acoustics accessories

  48. #398
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by BlueFox View Post
    Possibly, but I suspect they are better than nothing.

    What I wonder is what will happen when people can go to work, and just start acting human again. The virus isn’t going to disappear. Why won’t it start infecting people again?
    Well if NO cure or vaccine is made by next April, May, this could occur each and every season, something like the "flu season" and we will have a Covid19 season. I sure hope and pray not.
    2chl : Vincent Sp331MkII, W4S STP-SE Stage 2, Kef 201/2, KEF 140, Vapor Breeze, Lumin, Bryston CD, BHA-1, Quicksilver Headamp, HD650, HD800s, HD820's, Dan Clark 1.1, Focal Stellia, OPPO 203, 105. ( Boxed up: Pass Xa-30.5, VPI Classic, Dynavector DV-20XL, Manley Chinook, Cadenza Bronze)

  49. #399
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowfax View Post
    And what are the Stats for Not using the Vents?

    Patients Die, right?

    My wife is a 35 year Respiratory Therapist and until there is some real proof about this, it does not make a lot of sense unless there is an issue with the Vent or the amount of Oxygen used.
    maybe you are right. I am far from a doctor but what I understand is there are a lot of unknowns about this virus at the moment. Nobody understands it to the fullest, irrespective of how experience they are. Doctors/Scientists are desperately trying to glean into it everyday as new data comes in. I am sure there would be more discoveries to be had in the coming months.

  50. #400
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    Re: Coronavirus Live Updates

    Quote Originally Posted by kiwi_1282001 View Post
    Furthermore, be warned. There is also abundant opportunity for your significant other to point out an imbalance in domestic labor.
    Kiwi sir,

    Truer words have never been spoken. Thanks for the heads up, but I am apparently not of the learning type.
    Avanti Audio

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