Coronavirus Live Updates

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Did you see any of this hysteria, or press coverage, last 'flu season' when '61000 people died in the USA of influenza, and millions worldwide..?..Covid 19 is an upper respiratory, infection, that to date, has a morbidity and mortality rate approaching the flu. There is no reason, currently,. for any of the panic that is press driven in this country. People are going to die but the average healthy person, if they contract the disease may not even have significant symptoms.It is too early to in the disease to say whether contracting the virus will give you immunity going forward.This virus, like most viruses, is able to mutate. What will probably happen is that the CDC and labs across the country will come up with an immunization, possibly yearly, that will confer at least partial protection...like the current flu shot. The reality is that < 50% of people that are offered the flu shot don't get it..Dont forget to buy extra 'toilet paper;...
 
Covid 19 is an upper respiratory, infection, that to date, has a morbidity and mortality rate approaching the flu.

This is simply not true. Flu mortality rate is generally <0.1%. CDC revised last week of its estimation on COVID-19 mortality rate to be 3.4% (although I’d expect this to change once we know more about COVID-19 in the near future). That means COVID-19 is 34x more deadly than flu. If you use flu mortality rate as 0.05% (in some years), it’s 68x more deadly.

Besides, flu has vaccine and known antiviral medication. We have none for COVID-19.
 
actually..the CDC has recently revised those mortality #s as the original rate ...they realized...did not include the # of people who contracted the virus that were actually asymptomatic..and weren't counted. As for the vaccine...that should be available before years end...Bottom line..people do not need to stay shut up in their houses and schools and businesses do not need to shut down because there are cases of Covid 19 in the community. People are going to get the virus and get over it ......just like influenza..
 
actually..the CDC has recently revised those mortality #s as the original rate ...they realized...did not include the # of people who contracted the virus that were actually asymptomatic..and weren't counted. As for the vaccine...that should be available before years end...Bottom line..people do not need to stay shut up in their houses and schools and businesses do not need to shut down because there are cases of Covid 19 in the community. People are going to get the virus and get over it ......just like influenza..

Even using original rate of 2%, that’s 20x more deadly than flu in a bad year and 40x more deadly than flu in a good year.

You can draw your own conclusion about whether if it is necessary to stay home and shut down business based on above numbers. But fact is it’s more deadly than flu and no one should say otherwise because this is about health.
 
CNNs new site covering CV is: https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-03-08-20-intl-hnk/index.html

Some Highlights:

A 100-year-old man has recovered from the coronavirus

Bahrain's Formula 1 Grand Prix to be held without spectators

The numbers: The global total of cases now stands at more than 105,000, with 3,599 deaths since the epidemic began.

Italy on lockdown: Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte signed a decree which will put most of the country's north under lockdown. The entire Lombardy region is included as well as 14 other provinces. In these areas citizens are only allowed to travel for unavoidable and urgent health issues.

China hotel collapse: Seven people have died after a hotel that was being used as a coronavirus quarantine center collapsed in China's Quanzhou city. Of 71 people trapped in the rubble, 28 remain unaccounted for.

South Korean cases rise above 7,100: Seoul announced over 367 new infections today, bringing the country's total to 7,134, including 50 deaths -- the worst outbreak outside of China.

US cases surpass 440: There are 444 cases of the coronavirus in the US. The US has recorded 19 deaths linked to the virus.

First coronavirus death in South America: A 64-year-old man diagnosed with the novel coronavirus after traveling to Europe died in Argentina on Saturday, according to the Argentine health ministry.

Other cases: Australia, Japan, Malaysia, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam reported new cases on Sunday. Maldives reported its first two cases.

Countries impose quarantines: Thailand asks travelers from China, South Korea, Iran and Italy to self-isolate for 14 days and Macao said travelers from Germany, France, Spain and Japan will need to undergo a 14-day quarantine in designated facilities.

Grand Princess: The cruise ship with 21 cases of coronavirus, which has been waiting 50 miles off the coast of California, will be allowed to dock in Oakland on Monday.
 
...Besides, flu has vaccine and known antiviral medication. We have none for COVID-19.

According to the CDC, the flu vaccine's effectiveness for people over 65 is typically 10-15%, and that's only for the strains in the vaccine; if a new or different strain is epidemic, then the effectiveness is 0%. So let's not pretend that we have an effective vaccine for influenza.

Anti-viral medications work just as well against CoVid19 as they do against influenza (although they are different medications for each), which is to say somewhat but not well. There is no good evidence that anti-viral medications affect the mortality rate of either disease.

Although we have good data on the number of deaths associated with CoVid19, we have no reliable data at all on the total number of infected people, and it appears it will be a long time (if ever) before that number is known. What is clear is that unlike influenza, children and healthy adults under 40 (or perhaps even 50 or 60) die very rarely or not at all from CoVid19 infection
 
I agree there’s still a lot of unknowns about covid-19, unlike flu. But before you do, you still have to go by the number CDC estimates. This will continue to change for sure. Better or worse, no one really knows. But suggesting now that it’s the same or less lethal than flu is irresponsible. When it comes to life and death, there’s no such thing as over-precaution.

People over 60 still count the same as people under 60.
 
I would be shocked if we didn’t hear some news about Axpona this week. They keep saying it’s on, but I think things could change. When SXSW got cancelled, that’s big. Nothing has been said, just a hunch.

I mean, a bunch of old fat guys with poor hygiene squished together in tiny hotel rooms with the HVAC turned off. What could go wrong?


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I bet it will be axed on Monday.

They have a big problem, since they can't just move to October / September, like many other events, due to proximity of RMAF. They can try July or June (there have been a summer CES for many years afterall) and hope for the best.

If they cancel altogether, then the RMAF would get much stronger this year as most companies would probably divert all their money there, which in turn will put them in a bad starting position for 2021.
 
Much too early to know what the CV will do yet.

As we all know flu season is normally during the winter months then slows down during the hotter months. However, from what I'm reading, there's not enough info on CV yet to know if it is or isn't like the flu.

At a Pentagon briefing last week, the director of the Center for Infectious Diseases Research was already speaking about a possible "second wave" of CV next winter:

"This is why it’s really important to understand that a lot of what we’re doing now is getting ourselves ready for what we’re calling the second wave of this," Nelson warned. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news...0-intl-hnk/h_883a0d3146f6c1549204e9d09060460c

Of course, our summer time temperatures may kill it all off. They just don't know ...

IMO while hoping for the best, prepare for the worse ... i.e. a lot of shows may be cancelled.
 
I would be shocked if we didn’t hear some news about Axpona this week. They keep saying it’s on, but I think things could change. When SXSW got cancelled, that’s big. Nothing has been said, just a hunch.

I mean, a bunch of old fat guys with poor hygiene squished together in tiny hotel rooms with the HVAC turned off. What could go wrong?


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From a Saturday morning FB post by Mark Freed from AXPONA...

Mark Freed
Hi everybody. The last 48 hours have brought a welcome outpouring of calls, emails and posts amid the escalation of coronavirus fears. The AXPONA team has been working on a contingency plan that will continue through the weekend for a possible solution. We hope to have news to share by Monday. Please stay tuned.

 
From a Saturday morning FB post by Mark Freed from AXPONA...

Mark Freed
Hi everybody. The last 48 hours have brought a welcome outpouring of calls, emails and posts amid the escalation of coronavirus fears. The AXPONA team has been working on a contingency plan that will continue through the weekend for a possible solution. We hope to have news to share by Monday. Please stay tuned.


Very interesting. The only reason I made my post is because most (all?) my manufactures were pulling out. They haven’t said it publicly, but privately, they mentioned it. I feel bad for the folks at Axpona. Honestly, these shows are sooooo much work. We started planning ours for 2021, two weeks ago. This is beyond their control and to make these tough decisions on the eve of the show, is really difficult. I wish them luck and hope they make the best decision in the end (whatever that may be). Axpona is an amazing show.
 
I understand the deep concern many have in regards to the Axpona audio show, the biggest audio show on the planet. On the other hand I understand the deep concern many have in regards to the Coronavirus, with the possibility of dire consequences on infection spread and that can even result in deaths.

We highly value our audio, we highly value our families and friends and all people.
Without healthy people hiend audio doesn't have the same music listening impact.

In my sincere honest calculated opinion.
Take good care of one another everyone.
 
RIP Dan, I'm missing him...every single day.
I also remember when he told us the passing of his lovely wife not that too long ago.
I forgot her name but it was a name that I like very much.

RIP Marlene, just over a year ago...February 2019.
 
here is an interesting TED video describing how germs and viruses travel on planes:

https://www.ted.com/talks/raymond_wang_how_germs_travel_on_planes_and_how_we_can_stop_them#t-335896

Using fluid dynamics, he created computational simulations of how air moves on airplanes, and what he found is disturbing -- when a person sneezes on a plane, the airflow actually helps to spread pathogens to other passengers.

One smart kid, well actually an adult now. And yes, it is very disturbing ... And he even has a partial solution ...
 
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